Decreasing trend of tropical cyclone frequency in 228-year high-resolution AGCM simulations

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Decreasing trend of tropical cyclone frequency in 228-year high-resolution AGCM simulations

[1] We conducted 228-year long, three-member ensemble simulations using a high resolution (60 km grid size) global atmosphere model, MRI-AGCM3.2, with prescribed sea surface temperature and greenhouse gases and aerosols from 1872 to 2099. We found a clear decreasing trend of global tropical cyclone (TC) frequency throughout the 228 years of the simulation. We also found a significant multidecad...

متن کامل

Numerical Simulations of Tropical Cyclone-Ocean Interaction With a High-Resolution Coupled Model

The tropical cyclone-ocean interaction was investigated using a high-resolution tropical cyclone ocean coupled model. The model design consisted of the NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory tropical cyclone prediction model which was coupled with a multilayer primitive equation ocean model. Coupling between the hurricane and the ocean models was carried out by passing into the ocean model ...

متن کامل

Low Frequency Variability In Globally Integrated Tropical Cyclone Power Dissipation

[1] Surface wind and temperature records from the European Centre for MediumRange Weather Forecasts 40 Year Reanalysis (ERA-40) Project are used to estimate low-frequency variations in globally integrated tropical cyclone (TC) intensity from 1958 to 2001. For the first time, the annually integrated power dissipation (PD) is explicitly calculated on a global scale, and results show an upward tre...

متن کامل

AGCM Precipitation Biases in the Tropical Atlantic

Many general circulation models (GCMs) share similar biases in the representation of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in the Atlantic, even when they are forced with the time series of the observed sea surface temperature (SST). Specifically, they overestimate precipitation in the Southern Hemisphere in boreal spring and in the Caribbean region in boreal summer. The majority of the mod...

متن کامل

Recent developments in tropical cyclone analysis using observations and high resolution models

Affecting scores of people with seemingly insurmountable and unmanageable costs, tropical cyclones (TCs) are one of the most devastating extreme weather events. In this special issue, we highlight and summarize some of the recent studies that make use of detailed observations and high-resolution numerical models to analyze tropical cyclones from their genesis to post-landfall impacts. Focused a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters

سال: 2012

ISSN: 0094-8276

DOI: 10.1029/2012gl053360